QQQ vs TQQQ ETF Comparison
Set your investment period and amount to compare the returns, growth and risk of two ETFs.
Data as of 2026-10-23
Key comparison
Compare growth, loss risk, and cost in the same rows first.
| Portfolio A · QQQ 100% | Portfolio B · TQQQ 100% |
|---|---|
CAGR +19.4% | CAGR +36.7% |
Final Balance $68,031 | Final Balance $293,738 |
Volatility +18.8% | Volatility +58.7% |
MDD · daily -35.1% | MDD · daily -81.7% |
Sharpe Ratio 0.95 | Sharpe Ratio 0.82 |
Weighted expense ratio 0.18% | Weighted expense ratio 0.78% |
Result summary
TQQQ had the higher CAGR. QQQ had the smaller maximum drawdown.
- QQQ: CAGR 19.40%, daily maximum drawdown -35.12%.
- TQQQ: CAGR 36.70%, daily maximum drawdown -81.65%.
Key points in this comparison
- In 2023, returns were TQQQ +198.3% and QQQ +54.9%, a gap of 143.4 percentage points.
- Maximum drawdown was -35.1% for QQQ and -81.6% for TQQQ; TQQQ fell further. After its deepest decline, TQQQ took 1111 days to get back to its previous peak.
- The monthly-return correlation is 0.99: the two portfolios moved almost in step.
Period & basis
2016-01-04 – 2026-10-23
Historical results for this period.Cumulative performance
Compare growth paths and cumulative returns over the same period.
Portfolio value
Compare portfolio value and cumulative contributions on the same dates.
| ETF | Total Return | CAGR | Total invested |
|---|---|---|---|
| A | +580.3% | +19.4% | 10000 |
| B | +2837.4% | +36.7% | 10000 |
Risk and recovery
Compare the volatility taken for return with the loss path investors actually experienced.
Risk vs Return
Lower-left is safer, upper-right is higher risk/reward. Ideal: upper-left.
| Compared portfolios | CAGR | Volatility (Ann.) | Sharpe Ratio | MDD · daily |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 19.4% | 18.79% | 0.95 | -35.12% |
| B | 36.7% | 58.71% | 0.82 | -81.65% |
Drawdown paths
Compare how far each portfolio's daily closing value fell from its prior peak over the same period.
| Compared portfolios | MDD · daily |
|---|---|
| A | -35.12 |
| B | -81.65 |
Returns and major declines
Compare annual returns and daily peak, trough, and recovery dates.
Annual Returns Comparison
Check consistency across annual, quarterly, decade, and rolling windows.
| Metric | A | B |
|---|---|---|
| 2026· Partial year | +20.8% | +48.9% |
| 2025 | +20.8% | +34.4% |
| 2024 | +25.6% | +58.2% |
| 2023 | +54.9% | +198.3% |
| 2022 | -32.6% | -79.1% |
| 2021 | +27.4% | +83.0% |
| 2020 | +48.6% | +110.0% |
| 2019 | +39.0% | +133.8% |
| 2018 | -0.1% | -19.8% |
| 2017 | +32.7% | +118.1% |
| 2016 | +7.1% | +11.4% |
Worst Drawdown Periods
| Peak date | Trough date | Recovery date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-27 | 2022-11-03 | 2023-12-13 | -35.1% |
| 2020-02-19 | 2020-03-16 | 2020-06-03 | -28.6% |
| 2018-08-29 | 2018-12-24 | 2019-04-12 | -22.8% |
| Peak date | Trough date | Recovery date | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-11-19 | 2022-12-28 | 2024-12-04 | -81.7% |
| 2020-02-19 | 2020-03-20 | 2020-07-10 | -69.9% |
| 2018-08-29 | 2018-12-24 | 2019-11-04 | -58.1% |
Stress Test: Market Crashes
Return of each ETF during major historical market drawdown events| Event | A | B |
|---|---|---|
| Q4 2018 Selloff | -21.9% | -56.4% |
| COVID-19 Crash | -27.9% | -69.8% |
| 2022 Rate Hike Bear Market | -34.3% | -78.8% |
Risk and recovery
Review drawdowns, downside risk, volatility regimes, and recovery speed.
| Portfolio A | Portfolio B |
|---|---|
Holdings 1 | Holdings 1 |
Effective holdings 1.00 | Effective holdings 1.00 |
Largest weight +100.0% | Largest weight +100.0% |
Weighted dividend yield 0.44% | Weighted dividend yield 0.73% |
Monthly observations 129 | Monthly observations 129 |
MDD · month-end -32.6% | MDD · month-end -79.1% |
Downside deviation +3.1% | Downside deviation +9.9% |
Worst Year -32.6% | Worst Year -79.1% |
Longest drawdown 716 days | Longest drawdown 1,111 days |
Average recovery 109 days | Average recovery 183 days |
Ulcer Index +9.1% | Ulcer Index +29.2% |
Pain Index +4.7% | Pain Index +18.7% |
Historical VaR 95% +8.4% | Historical VaR 95% +26.0% |
CVaR 95% +9.7% | CVaR 95% +30.4% |
Effective holdings measures weight concentration. It does not represent overlap among the ETFs' underlying holdings.
Risk-adjusted and benchmark
Compare excess return, sensitivity, and tracking behavior against the same benchmark.
| Portfolio A | Portfolio B |
|---|---|
Sortino 1.62 | Sortino 1.39 |
Calmar · 3Y month-end 2.78 | Calmar · 3Y month-end 1.96 |
Omega ratio 2.17 | Omega ratio 1.88 |
Martin ratio 2.13 | Martin ratio 1.26 |
Excess Return +4.6% | Excess Return +21.9% |
Alpha +3.3% | Alpha +2.5% |
Information ratio 0.63 | Information ratio 0.78 |
Beta 1.14 | Beta 3.56 |
Tracking error +8.1% | Tracking error +45.4% |
Benchmark correlation 0.91 | Benchmark correlation 0.91 |
Up Capture +122.2% | Up Capture +502.2% |
Down Capture +103.1% | Down Capture +220.5% |
Period consistency
Check consistency across annual, quarterly, decade, and rolling windows.
| Portfolio A | Portfolio B |
|---|---|
Total Return +580.3% | Total Return +2837.4% |
Win Rate +65.1% | Win Rate +61.2% |
Best Year +54.9% | Best Year +198.3% |
Gain/Loss Ratio 1.16 | Gain/Loss Ratio 1.19 |
1-year rolling minimum -32.6% | 1-year rolling minimum -79.1% |
1-year positive windows +89.0% | 1-year positive windows +82.2% |
3-year rolling minimum +8.5% | 3-year rolling minimum -7.0% |
3-year positive windows +100.0% | 3-year positive windows +94.7% |
5-year rolling minimum +12.1% | 5-year rolling minimum +8.6% |
5-year positive windows +100.0% | 5-year positive windows +100.0% |
10-year rolling minimum +19.0% | 10-year rolling minimum +35.3% |
10-year positive windows +100.0% | 10-year positive windows +100.0% |
1-year rolling Sharpe minimum -1.33 | 1-year rolling Sharpe minimum -1.51 |
1-year rolling Sharpe average 1.25 | 1-year rolling Sharpe average 1.06 |
1-year rolling Sharpe maximum 3.77 | 1-year rolling Sharpe maximum 3.47 |
Period return comparison
Check consistency across annual, quarterly, decade, and rolling windows.
| Metric | A | B |
|---|---|---|
| 2026 Q4 | -4.8% | -15.0% |
| 2026 Q3 | +0.6% | -3.5% |
| 2026 Q2 | +27.7% | +94.8% |
| 2026 Q1 | -5.9% | -20.8% |
| 2025 Q4 | +2.5% | +2.1% |
| 2025 Q3 | +9.0% | +24.7% |
| 2025 Q2 | +17.8% | +45.3% |
| 2025 Q1 | -8.1% | -27.4% |
| 2024 Q4 | +4.9% | +9.5% |
| 2024 Q3 | +2.0% | -1.5% |
| 2024 Q2 | +8.1% | +20.4% |
| 2024 Q1 | +8.6% | +21.8% |
| 2023 Q4 | +14.6% | +43.0% |
| 2023 Q3 | -2.9% | -12.8% |
| 2023 Q2 | +15.3% | +45.5% |
| 2023 Q1 | +20.7% | +64.4% |
| 2022 Q4 | -0.1% | -10.0% |
| 2022 Q3 | -4.5% | -19.5% |
| 2022 Q2 | -22.5% | -58.7% |
| 2022 Q1 | -8.8% | -30.0% |
| 2021 Q4 | +11.3% | +33.5% |
| 2021 Q3 | +1.1% | +1.7% |
| 2021 Q2 | +11.2% | +34.2% |
| 2021 Q1 | +1.8% | +0.4% |
| 2020 Q4 | +13.1% | +38.9% |
| 2020 Q3 | +12.4% | +34.0% |
| 2020 Q2 | +30.3% | +105.0% |
| 2020 Q1 | -10.3% | -45.0% |
| 2019 Q4 | +12.9% | +40.5% |
| 2019 Q3 | +1.3% | -0.2% |
| 2019 Q2 | +4.2% | +9.0% |
| 2019 Q1 | +16.7% | +53.0% |
| 2018 Q4 | -16.7% | -47.9% |
| 2018 Q3 | +8.4% | +24.6% |
| 2018 Q2 | +7.4% | +19.0% |
| 2018 Q1 | +3.0% | +3.8% |
| 2017 Q4 | +7.3% | +21.4% |
| 2017 Q3 | +5.9% | +17.0% |
| 2017 Q2 | +4.3% | +10.7% |
| 2017 Q1 | +12.0% | +38.7% |
| 2016 Q4 | +0.1% | -1.1% |
| 2016 Q3 | +10.7% | +33.5% |
| 2016 Q2 | -1.3% | -5.9% |
| 2016 Q1 | -2.1% | -10.4% |
| Metric | A | B |
|---|---|---|
| 2020s | +19.9% | +31.4% |
| 2010s | +18.5% | +46.1% |
Return characteristics
Compare monthly distributions, momentum, asymmetry, and seasonality.
| Portfolio A | Portfolio B |
|---|---|
Skewness -0.19 | Skewness -0.03 |
Excess kurtosis 0.12 | Excess kurtosis 0.15 |
Longest winning streak 7 | Longest winning streak 7 |
Longest losing streak 4 | Longest losing streak 4 |
Average monthly return +1.7% | Average monthly return +4.2% |
Monthly return autocorrelation -0.07 | Monthly return autocorrelation -0.06 |
1M momentum +3.3% | 1M momentum +8.7% |
3M momentum +0.6% | 3M momentum -3.5% |
6M momentum +28.4% | 6M momentum +88.0% |
12M momentum +23.8% | 12M momentum +52.1% |
Worst 5% -8.4% | Worst 5% -25.9% |
Median +2.0% | Median +4.8% |
Best 5% +10.6% | Best 5% +32.8% |
- ETF2 Up / ETF1 Down
- 0
- Both Up
- 78
- Both Down
- 46
- ETF1 Up / ETF2 Down
- 5
- Total
- 129 months
Questions about these results
How did the same initial investment grow?
From 2016-01-04 to 2026-10-23, an initial $10,000 ended at $68,031 for QQQ and $293,738 for TQQQ. Annualized returns were 19.40% and 36.70%, respectively.
How did the results differ during market crises?
During 2022 Rate Hike Bear Market, returns were -34.3% for QQQ and -78.8% for TQQQ. During COVID-19 Crash, returns were -27.9% for QQQ and -69.8% for TQQQ.
What are the expense ratios and annual costs?
Weighted expense ratios are 0.18% for QQQ and 0.78% for TQQQ. Applied to the initial $10,000, estimated annual costs are $18 and $78.
What are the dividend yields and their basis?
The yields are 0.44% for QQQ and 0.73% for TQQQ. They use distributions from the last 365 days divided by the last closing price and do not predict future distributions.